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Archived project. The S&P 500 StockPicker is a snapshot from October 18, 2026 and is no longer updated. See how it was built
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ABNB

HOLD

Airbnb, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · Rank #32 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$173.70

Current Price

$227.77

Intrinsic Value

+31.1%

Upside/Downside

5.9/10

Score

4.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus1/3 methods agree
Quality Score4.5/5.0
Framework RatingHOLD
Price vs Intrinsic ValueUndervalued by 31.1%

Fair Value Range

Low$14.17
Base (IV)$227.77
High$298.63

Entry Points

Conservative$9.92
Moderate$14.17
Aggressive$159.44

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity34.5% → 1.0/1.0
Debt LevelD/E 32 → 0.5/1.0
Revenue QualityGrowth 11.1%, margin Δ-4.3% +recovery → 1.0/1.0
Moat Strength4.0/5 → 1.0/1.0
Profit Margins20.4% → 1.0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.