ADM

SELL

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company

Consumer Defensive · Rank #444 · Analyzed Jul 13, 2026

$80.41

Current Price

$77.27

Intrinsic Value

-3.9%

Upside/Downside

1/10

Score

1/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/3 methods agree

Quality Score1/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 3.9%

Fair Value Range

Low$27.03

Base (IV)$77.27

High$78.97

Entry Points

Conservative$18.92

Moderate$27.03

Aggressive$54.09

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity4.8% → 0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 46 → 0.5/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth -5.7%, margin Δ-0.6% +recovery → 0.5/1.0

Moat Strength0.5/5 → 0/1.0

Profit Margins1.3% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.