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ADSK

SELL

Autodesk, Inc.

Technology · Rank #101 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$239.90

Current Price

$82.11

Intrinsic Value

low confidence

Upside/Downside

4/10

Score

4/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/2 methods agree
Quality Score4/5.0
Framework RatingSELL
Price vs Intrinsic ValueLow confidence — see rating

Fair Value Range

Low$39.65
Base (IV)$82.11
High$223.52

Entry Points

Conservative$27.75
Moderate$39.65
Aggressive$57.48

⚠️ Warnings

  • DCF/EPV diverge 4.2x — earnings power and cash flow disagree; fair value is low-confidence (blended conservatively)

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity53.9% → 1.0/1.0
Debt LevelD/E 110 → 0/1.0
Revenue QualityGrowth 13.6%, margin Δ+48.3% +recovery → 1.0/1.0
Moat Strength5.0/5 → 1.0/1.0
Profit Margins21.1% → 1.0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.