ADSK

SELL

Autodesk, Inc.

Technology · Rank #98 · Analyzed Jul 13, 2026

$208.45

Current Price

$81.33

Intrinsic Value

low confidence

Upside/Downside

4/10

Score

4/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/2 methods agree

Quality Score4/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueLow confidence — see rating

Fair Value Range

Low$39.42

Base (IV)$81.33

High$221.44

Entry Points

Conservative$27.60

Moderate$39.42

Aggressive$56.93

⚠️ Warnings

DCF/EPV diverge 4.2x — earnings power and cash flow disagree; fair value is low-confidence (blended conservatively)

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity50.4% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 85 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 13.6%, margin Δ+48.3% +recovery → 1.0/1.0

Moat Strength5.0/5 → 1.0/1.0

Profit Margins19.5% → 1.0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.