AMCR

SELL

Amcor plc

Consumer Cyclical · Rank #434 · Analyzed Jul 13, 2026

$43.18

Current Price

$24.85

Intrinsic Value

-42.5%

Upside/Downside

1/10

Score

1/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/2 methods agree

Quality Score1/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 42.5%

Fair Value Range

Low$12.42

Base (IV)$24.85

High$32.30

Entry Points

Conservative$8.70

Moderate$12.42

Aggressive$17.39

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity8.7% → 0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 144 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 11.4%, margin Δ-1.6% +recovery → 1.0/1.0

Moat Strength1.0/5 → 0/1.0

Profit Margins3.1% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.