AMCR

VALUE TRAP?

Amcor plc

Consumer Cyclical · Rank #183 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$43.85

Current Price

$65.98

Intrinsic Value

+50.5%

Upside/Downside

3.5/10

Score

1/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus1/2 methods agree

Quality Score1/5.0

Framework RatingVALUE TRAP?

Price vs Intrinsic ValueUndervalued by 50.5%

Fair Value Range

Low$23.09

Base (IV)$65.98

High$85.78

Entry Points

Conservative$16.17

Moderate$23.09

Aggressive$46.19

⚠️ Warnings

Cheap (+50%) but low quality (1.0/5) — possible value trap; cheapness may be deserved

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity9.4% → 0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 128 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 53.0%, margin Δ+2.0% +recovery → 1.0/1.0

Moat Strength2.0/5 → 0/1.0

Profit Margins4.7% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.