APP

SELL

Applovin Corporation

Communication Services · Rank #116 · Analyzed Jul 13, 2026

$506.98

Current Price

$44.43

Intrinsic Value

low confidence

Upside/Downside

4/10

Score

4/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/2 methods agree

Quality Score4/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueLow confidence — see rating

Fair Value Range

Low$21.97

Base (IV)$44.43

High$117.57

Entry Points

Conservative$15.38

Moderate$21.97

Aggressive$31.10

⚠️ Warnings

DCF/EPV diverge 4.1x — earnings power and cash flow disagree; fair value is low-confidence (blended conservatively)

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity266.4% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 163 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 27.8%, margin Δ+204.7% +recovery → 1.0/1.0

Moat Strength4.0/5 → 1.0/1.0

Profit Margins64.3% → 1.0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.