AVB

SELL

AvalonBay Communities, Inc.

Real Estate · Rank #280 · Analyzed Jul 13, 2026

$191.84

Current Price

$200.07

Intrinsic Value

+4.3%

Upside/Downside

2/10

Score

2/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus1/3 methods agree

Quality Score2/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueUndervalued by 4.3%

Fair Value Range

Low$66.73

Base (IV)$200.07

High$296.58

Entry Points

Conservative$46.71

Moderate$66.73

Aggressive$140.05

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity9.7% → 0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 81 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 4.4%, margin Δ-0.2% → 0.5/1.0

Moat Strength3.0/5 → 0.5/1.0

Profit Margins37.3% → 1.0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.