AVB

SELL

AvalonBay Communities, Inc.

Real Estate · Rank #311 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$184.06

Current Price

$94.04

Intrinsic Value

-48.9%

Upside/Downside

2/10

Score

2/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/3 methods agree

Quality Score2/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 48.9%

Fair Value Range

Low$66.30

Base (IV)$94.04

High$122.14

Entry Points

Conservative$46.41

Moderate$66.30

Aggressive$65.83

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity8.5% → 0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 75 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 4.4%, margin Δ-0.2% → 0.5/1.0

Moat Strength3.0/5 → 0.5/1.0

Profit Margins33.3% → 1.0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.