AVB

SELL

AvalonBay Communities, Inc.

Real Estate · Rank #300 · Analyzed Apr 20, 2026

$173.89

Current Price

$128.99

Intrinsic Value

+14.8%

Upside/Downside

2/10

Score

2/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/3 methods agree

Quality Score2/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueUndervalued by 14.8%

Fair Value Range

Low$68.06

Base (IV)$128.99

High$199.63

Entry Points

Conservative$68.06

Moderate$98.52

Aggressive$128.99

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity8.9% → 0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 80 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 4.4%, margin Δ-0.2% → 0.5/1.0

Moat Strength3.5/5 → 0.5/1.0

Profit Margins34.6% → 1.0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods — Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation — with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.