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CAT

SELL

Caterpillar, Inc.

Industrials · Rank #208 · Analyzed Jul 13, 2026

$952.41

Current Price

$182.46

Intrinsic Value

-80.8%

Upside/Downside

3/10

Score

3/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/2 methods agree
Quality Score3/5.0
Framework RatingSELL
Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 80.8%

Fair Value Range

Low$93.20
Base (IV)$182.46
High$271.42

Entry Points

Conservative$65.24
Moderate$93.20
Aggressive$127.72

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity51.3% → 1.0/1.0
Debt LevelD/E 231 → 0/1.0
Revenue QualityGrowth 11.2%, margin Δ-9.6% +recovery → 1.0/1.0
Moat Strength2.5/5 → 0.5/1.0
Profit Margins13.3% → 0.5/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.