CAT

SELL

Caterpillar, Inc.

Industrials · Rank #194 · Analyzed Apr 20, 2026

$794.65

Current Price

$124.07

Intrinsic Value

-76.9%

Upside/Downside

3/10

Score

3/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/3 methods agree

Quality Score3/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 76.9%

Fair Value Range

Low$36.65

Base (IV)$124.07

High$183.43

Entry Points

Conservative$36.65

Moderate$80.36

Aggressive$124.07

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity43.5% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 207 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 11.2%, margin Δ-9.6% +recovery → 1.0/1.0

Moat Strength2.5/5 → 0.5/1.0

Profit Margins13.1% → 0.5/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods — Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation — with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.