CF

HOLD

CF Industries Holdings, Inc.

Basic Materials · Rank #2 · Analyzed Apr 20, 2026

$112.68

Current Price

$2172.96

Intrinsic Value

0.0%

Upside/Downside

10/10

Score

4/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus2/3 methods agree

Quality Score4/5.0

Framework RatingHOLD

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 0.0%

Fair Value Range

Low$40.49

Base (IV)$2172.96

High$3232.76

Entry Points

Conservative$40.49

Moderate$1106.73

Aggressive$2172.96

⚠️ Warnings

Upside capped: raw 2769% exceeds 200% — valuation unreliable

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity23.4% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 47 → 0.5/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 12.4%, margin Δ+9.5% → 1.0/1.0

Moat Strength3.5/5 → 0.5/1.0

Profit Margins20.5% → 1.0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods — Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation — with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.