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Archived project. The S&P 500 StockPicker is a snapshot from October 18, 2026 and is no longer updated. See how it was built
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CI

HOLD

The Cigna Group

Healthcare · Rank #116 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$302.30

Current Price

$975.58

Intrinsic Value

low confidence

Upside/Downside

4/10

Score

2/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus2/2 methods agree
Quality Score2/5.0
Framework RatingHOLD
Price vs Intrinsic ValueLow confidence — see rating

Fair Value Range

Low$319.87
Base (IV)$975.58
High$1204.57

Entry Points

Conservative$223.91
Moderate$319.87
Aggressive$682.90

⚠️ Warnings

  • Extreme base-case upside (223%) — verify inputs before trusting

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity16.8% → 1.0/1.0
Debt LevelD/E 74 → 0/1.0
Revenue QualityGrowth 12.8%, margin Δ-1.5% +recovery → 1.0/1.0
Moat Strength2.0/5 → 0/1.0
Profit Margins2.3% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.