CIEN

SELL

Ciena Corporation

Technology · Rank #217 · Analyzed Jul 13, 2026

$460.72

Current Price

$24.72

Intrinsic Value

low confidence

Upside/Downside

3/10

Score

3/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/2 methods agree

Quality Score3/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueLow confidence — see rating

Fair Value Range

Low$8.94

Base (IV)$24.72

High$76.41

Entry Points

Conservative$6.26

Moderate$8.94

Aggressive$17.31

⚠️ Warnings

DCF/EPV diverge 6.3x — earnings power and cash flow disagree; fair value is low-confidence (blended conservatively)

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity15.5% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 55 → 0.5/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 20.9%, margin Δ-2.8% +recovery → 1.0/1.0

Moat Strength2.5/5 → 0.5/1.0

Profit Margins7.9% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.