CIEN

SELL

Ciena Corporation

Technology · Rank #410 · Analyzed Apr 20, 2026

$507.43

Current Price

$52.49

Intrinsic Value

-83.9%

Upside/Downside

1.5/10

Score

1.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/3 methods agree

Quality Score1.5/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 83.9%

Fair Value Range

Low$8.23

Base (IV)$52.49

High$81.89

Entry Points

Conservative$8.23

Moderate$30.36

Aggressive$52.49

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity8.2% → 0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 57 → 0.5/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 20.9%, margin Δ-2.8% +recovery → 1.0/1.0

Moat Strength1.5/5 → 0/1.0

Profit Margins4.5% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods — Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation — with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.