CME

SELL

CME Group Inc.

Financial Services · Rank #93 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$293.87

Current Price

$262.71

Intrinsic Value

-10.6%

Upside/Downside

4/10

Score

4/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/2 methods agree

Quality Score4/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 10.6%

Fair Value Range

Low$153.54

Base (IV)$262.71

High$276.31

Entry Points

Conservative$107.48

Moderate$153.54

Aggressive$183.90

⚠️ Warnings

Financial sector — DCF less reliable (FCF includes reserves/float)

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity15.8% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 15 → 1.0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 6.7%, margin Δ-2.0% → 0.5/1.0

Moat Strength2.5/5 → 0.5/1.0

Profit Margins63.4% → 1.0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.