CMG

SELL

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · Rank #290 · Analyzed Jul 13, 2026

$35.25

Current Price

$12.72

Intrinsic Value

-63.9%

Upside/Downside

2/10

Score

2/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/2 methods agree

Quality Score2/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 63.9%

Fair Value Range

Low$9.79

Base (IV)$12.72

High$15.49

Entry Points

Conservative$6.85

Moderate$9.79

Aggressive$8.91

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity49.2% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 218 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 7.3%, margin Δ-2.4% → 0.5/1.0

Moat Strength1.5/5 → 0/1.0

Profit Margins12.0% → 0.5/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.