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Archived project. The S&P 500 StockPicker is a snapshot from October 18, 2026 and is no longer updated. See how it was built
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COIN

SELL

Coinbase Global, Inc.

Financial Services · Rank #390 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$173.16

Current Price

$19.51

Intrinsic Value

-88.7%

Upside/Downside

1.5/10

Score

1.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/2 methods agree
Quality Score1.5/5.0
Framework RatingSELL
Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 88.7%

Fair Value Range

Low$5.89
Base (IV)$19.51
High$33.13

Entry Points

Conservative$4.12
Moderate$5.89
Aggressive$13.66

⚠️ Warnings

  • DCF discarded: negative profit margins
  • Financial sector — DCF less reliable (FCF includes reserves/float)

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity-7.8% → 0/1.0
Debt LevelD/E 51 → 0.5/1.0
Revenue QualityGrowth 10.0%, margin Δ-2.2% +recovery → 1.0/1.0
Moat Strength2.0/5 → 0/1.0
Profit Margins-16.3% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.