COP

HOLD

ConocoPhillips

Energy · Rank #17 · Analyzed Jul 13, 2026

$109.04

Current Price

$195.91

Intrinsic Value

+79.7%

Upside/Downside

7.4/10

Score

2.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus2/2 methods agree

Quality Score2.5/5.0

Framework RatingHOLD

Price vs Intrinsic ValueUndervalued by 79.7%

Fair Value Range

Low$153.16

Base (IV)$195.91

High$236.81

Entry Points

Conservative$107.21

Moderate$153.16

Aggressive$137.14

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity11.3% → 0.5/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 36 → 0.5/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 15.1%, margin Δ-9.2% +recovery → 1.0/1.0

Moat Strength1.5/5 → 0/1.0

Profit Margins12.3% → 0.5/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.