CVNA

SELL

Carvana Co.

Consumer Cyclical · Rank #379 · Analyzed Jul 13, 2026

$65.83

Current Price

$3.58

Intrinsic Value

low confidence

Upside/Downside

1.5/10

Score

1.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/2 methods agree

Quality Score1.5/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueLow confidence — see rating

Fair Value Range

Low$0.66

Base (IV)$3.58

High$12.23

Entry Points

Conservative$0.46

Moderate$0.66

Aggressive$2.51

⚠️ Warnings

DCF/EPV diverge 14.2x — earnings power and cash flow disagree; fair value is low-confidence (blended conservatively)

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity60.2% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 121 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 49.4%, margin Δ-0.6% → 0.5/1.0

Moat Strength2.0/5 → 0/1.0

Profit Margins6.4% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.