CVX

SELL

Chevron Corporation

Energy · Rank #269 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$224.99

Current Price

$145.29

Intrinsic Value

-35.4%

Upside/Downside

2.5/10

Score

2.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/3 methods agree

Quality Score2.5/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 35.4%

Fair Value Range

Low$76.51

Base (IV)$145.29

High$174.71

Entry Points

Conservative$53.56

Moderate$76.51

Aggressive$101.70

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity12.2% → 0.5/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 19 → 1.0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth -6.0%, margin Δ+2.0% +recovery → 0.5/1.0

Moat Strength2.5/5 → 0.5/1.0

Profit Margins9.8% → 0.5/1.0

commodity_capcapped 3.0→2.5 (price-taker, no durable moat)

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.