DG

VALUE TRAP?

Dollar General Corporation

Consumer Defensive · Rank #131 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$134.36

Current Price

$363.80

Intrinsic Value

+170.8%

Upside/Downside

3.5/10

Score

1.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus1/3 methods agree

Quality Score1.5/5.0

Framework RatingVALUE TRAP?

Price vs Intrinsic ValueUndervalued by 170.8%

Fair Value Range

Low$10.78

Base (IV)$363.80

High$528.37

Entry Points

Conservative$7.55

Moderate$10.78

Aggressive$254.66

⚠️ Warnings

Cheap (+171%) but low quality (1.5/5) — possible value trap; cheapness may be deserved

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity19.7% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 170 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 3.6%, margin Δ+2.2% → 0.5/1.0

Moat Strength2.0/5 → 0/1.0

Profit Margins3.9% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.