DHI

SELL

D.R. Horton, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · Rank #325 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$139.39

Current Price

$102.34

Intrinsic Value

-26.6%

Upside/Downside

2/10

Score

2/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/3 methods agree

Quality Score2/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 26.6%

Fair Value Range

Low$70.22

Base (IV)$102.34

High$134.33

Entry Points

Conservative$49.16

Moderate$70.22

Aggressive$71.64

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity12.6% → 0.5/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 29 → 1.0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth -4.2%, margin Δ-3.9% → 0/1.0

Moat Strength1.0/5 → 0/1.0

Profit Margins9.2% → 0.5/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.