DLTR

SELL

Dollar Tree, Inc.

Consumer Defensive · Rank #214 · Analyzed Apr 20, 2026

$105.93

Current Price

$105.62

Intrinsic Value

+45.1%

Upside/Downside

2.5/10

Score

2.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/3 methods agree

Quality Score2.5/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueUndervalued by 45.1%

Fair Value Range

Low$15.23

Base (IV)$105.62

High$153.75

Entry Points

Conservative$15.23

Moderate$60.42

Aggressive$105.62

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity31.7% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 188 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 9.4%, margin Δ+1.5% → 1.0/1.0

Moat Strength2.5/5 → 0.5/1.0

Profit Margins6.6% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods — Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation — with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.