DLTR

HOLD

Dollar Tree, Inc.

Consumer Defensive · Rank #68 · Analyzed Jul 13, 2026

$124.91

Current Price

$122.38

Intrinsic Value

-2.0%

Upside/Downside

4.9/10

Score

2.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/2 methods agree

Quality Score2.5/5.0

Framework RatingHOLD

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 2.0%

Fair Value Range

Low$13.87

Base (IV)$122.38

High$152.17

Entry Points

Conservative$9.71

Moderate$13.87

Aggressive$85.67

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity34.0% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 217 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 9.4%, margin Δ+1.5% → 1.0/1.0

Moat Strength2.5/5 → 0.5/1.0

Profit Margins6.5% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.