DVN

SELL

Devon Energy Corporation

Energy · Rank #229 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$50.73

Current Price

$16.24

Intrinsic Value

-68.0%

Upside/Downside

2.5/10

Score

2.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/3 methods agree

Quality Score2.5/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 68.0%

Fair Value Range

Low$10.75

Base (IV)$16.24

High$45.05

Entry Points

Conservative$7.52

Moderate$10.75

Aggressive$11.37

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity11.5% → 0.5/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 28 → 1.0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 14.0%, margin Δ-7.6% → 0.5/1.0

Moat Strength2.5/5 → 0.5/1.0

Profit Margins17.5% → 1.0/1.0

commodity_capcapped 3.5→2.5 (price-taker, no durable moat)

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.