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ERIE

SELL

Erie Indemnity Company

Financial Services · Rank #197 · Analyzed Jul 13, 2026

$251.81

Current Price

⚠️ Data disputed by an independent source

A second, independent data provider disagrees with our stored inputs beyond tolerance, so this valuation may rest on wrong numbers and should not be trusted:

  • Market cap disputed by independent source (ours 13,167,111,168 vs 11,726,884,210, 10.9% apart)

$149.64

Intrinsic Value

-40.6%

Upside/Downside

3/10

Score

3/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/3 methods agree
Quality Score3/5.0
Framework RatingSELL
Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 40.6%

Fair Value Range

Low$39.55
Base (IV)$149.64
High$179.57

Entry Points

Conservative$27.68
Moderate$39.55
Aggressive$104.75

⚠️ Warnings

  • Financial sector — DCF less reliable (FCF includes reserves/float)

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity25.9% → 1.0/1.0
Debt LevelD/E 2 → 1.0/1.0
Revenue QualityGrowth 7.4%, margin Δ+0.0% → 0.5/1.0
Moat Strength2.0/5 → 0/1.0
Profit Margins14.0% → 0.5/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.