EXE

SELL

Expand Energy Corporation

Energy · Rank #225 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$93.41

Current Price

$73.36

Intrinsic Value

-21.5%

Upside/Downside

2.5/10

Score

2.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus1/3 methods agree

Quality Score2.5/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 21.5%

Fair Value Range

Low$56.33

Base (IV)$73.36

High$132.98

Entry Points

Conservative$39.43

Moderate$56.33

Aggressive$51.35

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity14.9% → 0.5/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 19 → 1.0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 94.5%, margin Δ+66.4% → 1.0/1.0

Moat Strength2.5/5 → 0.5/1.0

Profit Margins22.0% → 1.0/1.0

commodity_capcapped 4.0→2.5 (price-taker, no durable moat)

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.