EXE

HOLD

Expand Energy Corporation

Energy · Rank #52 · Analyzed Jul 13, 2026

$87.25

Current Price

$91.39

Intrinsic Value

+4.7%

Upside/Downside

5.1/10

Score

2.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus2/3 methods agree

Quality Score2.5/5.0

Framework RatingHOLD

Price vs Intrinsic ValueUndervalued by 4.7%

Fair Value Range

Low$62.13

Base (IV)$91.39

High$148.44

Entry Points

Conservative$43.49

Moderate$62.13

Aggressive$63.97

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity17.6% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 26 → 1.0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 94.5%, margin Δ+66.4% → 1.0/1.0

Moat Strength4.0/5 → 1.0/1.0

Profit Margins24.9% → 1.0/1.0

commodity_capcapped 5.0→2.5 (price-taker, no durable moat)

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.