EXPE

SELL

Expedia Group, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · Rank #191 · Analyzed Jul 13, 2026

$270.83

Current Price

$147.74

Intrinsic Value

low confidence

Upside/Downside

3/10

Score

3/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus1/2 methods agree

Quality Score3/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueLow confidence — see rating

Fair Value Range

Low$70.47

Base (IV)$147.74

High$351.39

Entry Points

Conservative$49.33

Moderate$70.47

Aggressive$103.42

⚠️ Warnings

DCF/EPV diverge 4.3x — earnings power and cash flow disagree; fair value is low-confidence (blended conservatively)

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity71.5% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 257 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 0.9%, margin Δ+63.1% +recovery → 0.5/1.0

Moat Strength4.0/5 → 1.0/1.0

Profit Margins9.8% → 0.5/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.