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F

SELL

Ford Motor Company

Consumer Cyclical · Rank #451 · Analyzed Jul 13, 2026

$14.00

Current Price

$3.69

Intrinsic Value

-73.6%

Upside/Downside

1/10

Score

1/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/2 methods agree
Quality Score1/5.0
Framework RatingSELL
Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 73.6%

Fair Value Range

Low$0.03
Base (IV)$3.69
High$7.35

Entry Points

Conservative$0.02
Moderate$0.03
Aggressive$2.58

⚠️ Warnings

  • DCF discarded: negative profit margins
  • Unusually high FCF yield (17%) — DCF may be unreliable

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity-14.8% → 0/1.0
Debt LevelD/E 426 → 0/1.0
Revenue QualityGrowth 9.5%, margin Δ-8.2% +recovery → 1.0/1.0
Moat Strength0.5/5 → 0/1.0
Profit Margins-3.2% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.