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Archived project. The S&P 500 StockPicker is a snapshot from October 18, 2026 and is no longer updated. See how it was built
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FIX

SELL

Comfort Systems USA, Inc.

Industrials · Rank #124 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$1439.07

Current Price

$394.63

Intrinsic Value

-72.6%

Upside/Downside

4/10

Score

4/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/2 methods agree
Quality Score4/5.0
Framework RatingSELL
Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 72.6%

Fair Value Range

Low$105.74
Base (IV)$394.63
High$510.15

Entry Points

Conservative$74.02
Moderate$105.74
Aggressive$276.24

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity55.3% → 1.0/1.0
Debt LevelD/E 11 → 1.0/1.0
Revenue QualityGrowth 24.4%, margin Δ+5.2% +recovery → 1.0/1.0
Moat Strength3.0/5 → 0.5/1.0
Profit Margins12.8% → 0.5/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.