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Archived project. The S&P 500 StockPicker is a snapshot from October 18, 2026 and is no longer updated. See how it was built
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HCA

SELL

HCA Healthcare, Inc.

Healthcare · Rank #392 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$458.84

Current Price

$222.48

Intrinsic Value

-51.5%

Upside/Downside

1.5/10

Score

1.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/2 methods agree
Quality Score1.5/5.0
Framework RatingSELL
Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 51.5%

Fair Value Range

Low$121.96
Base (IV)$222.48
High$323.49

Entry Points

Conservative$85.37
Moderate$121.96
Aggressive$155.74

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity0.0% → 0/1.0
Debt LevelD/E 100 → 0/1.0
Revenue QualityGrowth 5.5%, margin Δ+2.5% → 1.0/1.0
Moat Strength2.0/5 → 0/1.0
Profit Margins8.8% → 0.5/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.