HLT

SELL

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · Rank #305 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$345.12

Current Price

$78.58

Intrinsic Value

-77.2%

Upside/Downside

2/10

Score

2/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/2 methods agree

Quality Score2/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 77.2%

Fair Value Range

Low$43.03

Base (IV)$78.58

High$115.84

Entry Points

Conservative$30.12

Moderate$43.03

Aggressive$55.01

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity0.0% → 0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 100 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 6.6%, margin Δ+1.5% +recovery → 1.0/1.0

Moat Strength2.0/5 → 0/1.0

Profit Margins31.0% → 1.0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.