HSY

HOLD

The Hershey Company

Consumer Defensive · Rank #99 · Analyzed Jul 13, 2026

$173.66

Current Price

$729.06

Intrinsic Value

low confidence

Upside/Downside

4/10

Score

3/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus2/2 methods agree

Quality Score3/5.0

Framework RatingHOLD

Price vs Intrinsic ValueLow confidence — see rating

Fair Value Range

Low$219.14

Base (IV)$729.06

High$1026.27

Entry Points

Conservative$153.40

Moderate$219.14

Aggressive$510.34

⚠️ Warnings

Extreme base-case upside (320%) — verify inputs before trusting

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity23.2% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 120 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 31.7%, margin Δ-39.3% +recovery → 1.0/1.0

Moat Strength2.5/5 → 0.5/1.0

Profit Margins9.1% → 0.5/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.