HSY

SELL

The Hershey Company

Consumer Defensive · Rank #316 · Analyzed Apr 20, 2026

$192.63

Current Price

$402.70

Intrinsic Value

+198.4%

Upside/Downside

2/10

Score

2/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus1/3 methods agree

Quality Score2/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueUndervalued by 198.4%

Fair Value Range

Low$25.05

Base (IV)$402.70

High$574.85

Entry Points

Conservative$25.05

Moderate$213.87

Aggressive$402.70

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity18.9% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 124 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 31.7%, margin Δ-39.3% +recovery → 1.0/1.0

Moat Strength1.5/5 → 0/1.0

Profit Margins7.6% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods — Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation — with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.