HSY

HOLD

The Hershey Company

Consumer Defensive · Rank #102 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$170.83

Current Price

$759.96

Intrinsic Value

low confidence

Upside/Downside

4/10

Score

3/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus2/2 methods agree

Quality Score3/5.0

Framework RatingHOLD

Price vs Intrinsic ValueLow confidence — see rating

Fair Value Range

Low$225.92

Base (IV)$759.96

High$1070.81

Entry Points

Conservative$158.15

Moderate$225.92

Aggressive$531.97

⚠️ Warnings

Extreme base-case upside (345%) — verify inputs before trusting

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity32.8% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 130 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 31.7%, margin Δ-39.3% +recovery → 1.0/1.0

Moat Strength3.0/5 → 0.5/1.0

Profit Margins12.2% → 0.5/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.