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HWM

SELL

Howmet Aerospace Inc.

Industrials · Rank #159 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$220.96

Current Price

$45.28

Intrinsic Value

-79.5%

Upside/Downside

3.5/10

Score

3.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/2 methods agree
Quality Score3.5/5.0
Framework RatingSELL
Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 79.5%

Fair Value Range

Low$21.29
Base (IV)$45.28
High$64.48

Entry Points

Conservative$14.90
Moderate$21.29
Aggressive$31.69

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity34.7% → 1.0/1.0
Debt LevelD/E 81 → 0/1.0
Revenue QualityGrowth 6.1%, margin Δ+6.8% +recovery → 1.0/1.0
Moat Strength3.0/5 → 0.5/1.0
Profit Margins20.5% → 1.0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.