JCI

SELL

Johnson Controls International

Industrials · Rank #399 · Analyzed Jul 13, 2026

$142.81

Current Price

$22.73

Intrinsic Value

-84.1%

Upside/Downside

1.5/10

Score

1.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/2 methods agree

Quality Score1.5/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 84.1%

Fair Value Range

Low$10.12

Base (IV)$22.73

High$35.37

Entry Points

Conservative$7.08

Moderate$10.12

Aggressive$15.91

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity13.4% → 0.5/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 70 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 0.9%, margin Δ+3.0% +recovery → 0.5/1.0

Moat Strength1.0/5 → 0/1.0

Profit Margins14.5% → 0.5/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.