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SELL

Lumentum Holdings Inc.

Technology · Rank #159 · Analyzed Jul 13, 2026 (cached)

$850.00

Current Price

$7.08

Intrinsic Value

-99.2%

Upside/Downside

3.5/10

Score

3.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/2 methods agree
Quality Score3.5/5.0
Framework RatingSELL
Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 99.2%

Fair Value Range

Low$2.49
Base (IV)$7.08
High$11.67

Entry Points

Conservative$1.74
Moderate$2.49
Aggressive$4.95

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity22.8% → 1.0/1.0
Debt LevelD/E 111 → 0/1.0
Revenue QualityGrowth 7.0%, margin Δ+16.1% +recovery → 1.0/1.0
Moat Strength2.5/5 → 0.5/1.0
Profit Margins17.7% → 1.0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.