LITE

SELL

Lumentum Holdings Inc.

Technology · Rank #217 · Analyzed Apr 20, 2026

$894.07

Current Price

$7.77

Intrinsic Value

-98.6%

Upside/Downside

2.5/10

Score

2.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/2 methods agree

Quality Score2.5/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 98.6%

Fair Value Range

Low$2.82

Base (IV)$7.77

High$12.71

Entry Points

Conservative$2.82

Moderate$5.30

Aggressive$7.77

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity29.3% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 392 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 7.0%, margin Δ+16.1% +recovery → 1.0/1.0

Moat Strength2.0/5 → 0/1.0

Profit Margins12.0% → 0.5/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods — Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation — with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.