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Archived project. The S&P 500 StockPicker is a snapshot from October 18, 2026 and is no longer updated. See how it was built
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LUV

SELL

Southwest Airlines Company

Industrials · Rank #446 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$39.50

Current Price

$9.76

Intrinsic Value

-75.3%

Upside/Downside

1/10

Score

1/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/2 methods agree
Quality Score1/5.0
Framework RatingSELL
Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 75.3%

Fair Value Range

Low$8.54
Base (IV)$9.76
High$10.98

Entry Points

Conservative$5.98
Moderate$8.54
Aggressive$6.83

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity11.1% → 0.5/1.0
Debt LevelD/E 97 → 0/1.0
Revenue QualityGrowth 0.6%, margin Δ+1.8% +recovery → 0.5/1.0
Moat Strength1.0/5 → 0/1.0
Profit Margins2.8% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.