LYB

SELL

LyondellBasell Industries NV

Basic Materials · Rank #430 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$64.01

Current Price

$50.11

Intrinsic Value

-21.7%

Upside/Downside

1/10

Score

1/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus1/2 methods agree

Quality Score1/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 21.7%

Fair Value Range

Low$22.41

Base (IV)$50.11

High$77.80

Entry Points

Conservative$15.69

Moderate$22.41

Aggressive$35.07

⚠️ Warnings

DCF discarded: negative profit margins

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity-2.3% → 0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 133 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth -4.1%, margin Δ-6.8% +recovery → 0.5/1.0

Moat Strength2.5/5 → 0.5/1.0

Profit Margins-1.1% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.