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MDLZ

VALUE TRAP?

Mondelez International, Inc.

Consumer Defensive · Rank #173 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$63.91

Current Price

$89.28

Intrinsic Value

+39.7%

Upside/Downside

3.5/10

Score

1.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus1/2 methods agree
Quality Score1.5/5.0
Framework RatingVALUE TRAP?
Price vs Intrinsic ValueUndervalued by 39.7%

Fair Value Range

Low$42.17
Base (IV)$89.28
High$128.96

Entry Points

Conservative$29.52
Moderate$42.17
Aggressive$62.50

⚠️ Warnings

  • Cheap (+40%) but low quality (1.5/5) — possible value trap; cheapness may be deserved

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity13.3% → 0.5/1.0
Debt LevelD/E 83 → 0/1.0
Revenue QualityGrowth 25.4%, margin Δ-26.3% → 0.5/1.0
Moat Strength1.0/5 → 0/1.0
Profit Margins8.9% → 0.5/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.