MGM

SELL

MGM Resorts International

Consumer Cyclical · Rank #384 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$28.60

Current Price

$14.53

Intrinsic Value

low confidence

Upside/Downside

1.5/10

Score

1.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/2 methods agree

Quality Score1.5/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueLow confidence — see rating

Fair Value Range

Low$3.98

Base (IV)$14.53

High$27.65

Entry Points

Conservative$2.79

Moderate$3.98

Aggressive$10.17

⚠️ Warnings

Unusually high FCF yield (20%) — DCF may be unreliable
DCF/EPV diverge 3.5x — earnings power and cash flow disagree; fair value is low-confidence (blended conservatively)

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity18.9% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 893 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 3.8%, margin Δ-3.6% → 0.5/1.0

Moat Strength2.0/5 → 0/1.0

Profit Margins2.4% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.