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MO

VALUE TRAP?

Altria Group, Inc.

Consumer Defensive · Rank #173 · Analyzed Jul 13, 2026

$71.79

Current Price

$183.07

Intrinsic Value

+155.0%

Upside/Downside

3.5/10

Score

1.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus1/2 methods agree
Quality Score1.5/5.0
Framework RatingVALUE TRAP?
Price vs Intrinsic ValueUndervalued by 155.0%

Fair Value Range

Low$66.63
Base (IV)$183.07
High$256.33

Entry Points

Conservative$46.64
Moderate$66.63
Aggressive$128.15

⚠️ Warnings

  • Cheap (+155%) but low quality (1.5/5) — possible value trap; cheapness may be deserved

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity0.0% → 0/1.0
Debt LevelD/E 100 → 0/1.0
Revenue QualityGrowth -7.9%, margin Δ+23.4% → 0/1.0
Moat Strength3.5/5 → 0.5/1.0
Profit Margins39.5% → 1.0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.