MO

VALUE TRAP?

Altria Group, Inc.

Consumer Defensive · Rank #174 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$75.11

Current Price

$110.35

Intrinsic Value

+46.9%

Upside/Downside

3.5/10

Score

1.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus1/2 methods agree

Quality Score1.5/5.0

Framework RatingVALUE TRAP?

Price vs Intrinsic ValueUndervalued by 46.9%

Fair Value Range

Low$68.51

Base (IV)$110.35

High$133.23

Entry Points

Conservative$47.96

Moderate$68.51

Aggressive$77.25

⚠️ Warnings

Cheap (+47%) but low quality (1.5/5) — possible value trap; cheapness may be deserved

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity0.0% → 0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 100 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth -7.9%, margin Δ+23.4% → 0/1.0

Moat Strength3.0/5 → 0.5/1.0

Profit Margins39.0% → 1.0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.