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MOS
VALUE TRAP?Mosaic Company (The)
Basic Materials · Rank #175 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026
$18.82
Current Price
$35.59
Intrinsic Value
+89.1%
Upside/Downside
3.5/10
Score
1.5/5
Quality
Analysis Summary
Valuation Consensus2/2 methods agree
Quality Score1.5/5.0
Framework RatingVALUE TRAP?
Price vs Intrinsic ValueUndervalued by 89.1%
Fair Value Range
Low$28.26
Base (IV)$35.59
High$42.93
Entry Points
Conservative$19.78
Moderate$28.26
Aggressive$24.92
⚠️ Warnings
- DCF discarded: negative profit margins
- Cheap (+89%) but low quality (1.5/5) — possible value trap; cheapness may be deserved
Quality & Moat Breakdown
Return on Equity-5.1% → 0/1.0
Debt LevelD/E 52 → 0.5/1.0
Revenue QualityGrowth 5.6%, margin Δ+3.0% +recovery → 1.0/1.0
Moat Strength0.0/5 → 0/1.0
Profit Margins-5.2% → 0/1.0
Methodology
This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.
Learn how this framework works →This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.