MPC

SELL

Marathon Petroleum Corporation

Energy · Rank #414 · Analyzed Apr 20, 2026

$213.69

Current Price

$379.48

Intrinsic Value

+159.5%

Upside/Downside

1.5/10

Score

1.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus1/3 methods agree

Quality Score1.5/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueUndervalued by 159.5%

Fair Value Range

Low$65.43

Base (IV)$379.48

High$554.55

Entry Points

Conservative$65.43

Moderate$222.45

Aggressive$379.48

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity24.2% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 143 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth -5.3%, margin Δ+1.0% +recovery → 0.5/1.0

Moat Strength1.0/5 → 0/1.0

Profit Margins3.0% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods — Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation — with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.