MPC

SELL

Marathon Petroleum Corporation

Energy · Rank #368 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$478.07

Current Price

$351.51

Intrinsic Value

-26.5%

Upside/Downside

2/10

Score

2/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/3 methods agree

Quality Score2/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 26.5%

Fair Value Range

Low$34.24

Base (IV)$351.51

High$433.87

Entry Points

Conservative$23.97

Moderate$34.24

Aggressive$246.06

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity42.1% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 133 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth -5.3%, margin Δ+1.0% +recovery → 0.5/1.0

Moat Strength3.0/5 → 0.5/1.0

Profit Margins5.5% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.