MPC

SELL

Marathon Petroleum Corporation

Energy · Rank #353 · Analyzed Jul 13, 2026

$283.74

Current Price

$309.26

Intrinsic Value

+9.0%

Upside/Downside

1.5/10

Score

1.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus2/3 methods agree

Quality Score1.5/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueUndervalued by 9.0%

Fair Value Range

Low$32.93

Base (IV)$309.26

High$386.50

Entry Points

Conservative$23.05

Moderate$32.93

Aggressive$216.48

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity27.5% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 147 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth -5.3%, margin Δ+1.0% +recovery → 0.5/1.0

Moat Strength2.0/5 → 0/1.0

Profit Margins3.4% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.