NCLH

SELL

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings

Consumer Cyclical · Rank #405 · Analyzed Apr 20, 2026

$20.99

Current Price

$4.64

Intrinsic Value

-74.2%

Upside/Downside

1.5/10

Score

1.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/2 methods agree

Quality Score1.5/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 74.2%

Fair Value Range

Low$3.88

Base (IV)$4.64

High$5.41

Entry Points

Conservative$3.88

Moderate$4.26

Aggressive$4.64

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity23.3% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 703 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth -0.9%, margin Δ+7.8% +recovery → 0.5/1.0

Moat Strength1.5/5 → 0/1.0

Profit Margins4.3% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods — Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation — with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.