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NEM

SELL

Newmont Corporation

Basic Materials · Rank #226 · Analyzed Jul 13, 2026

$95.29

Current Price

$67.38

Intrinsic Value

low confidence

Upside/Downside

2.5/10

Score

2.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus1/3 methods agree
Quality Score2.5/5.0
Framework RatingSELL
Price vs Intrinsic ValueLow confidence — see rating

Fair Value Range

Low$23.52
Base (IV)$67.38
High$196.44

Entry Points

Conservative$16.46
Moderate$23.52
Aggressive$47.17

⚠️ Warnings

  • DCF/EPV diverge 5.9x — earnings power and cash flow disagree; fair value is low-confidence (blended conservatively)

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity25.8% → 1.0/1.0
Debt LevelD/E 16 → 1.0/1.0
Revenue QualityGrowth -8.1%, margin Δ+51.8% +recovery → 0.5/1.0
Moat Strength5.0/5 → 1.0/1.0
Profit Margins33.9% → 1.0/1.0
commodity_capcapped 4.5→2.5 (price-taker, no durable moat)

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.