NEM

SELL

Newmont Corporation

Basic Materials · Rank #241 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$118.60

Current Price

$64.44

Intrinsic Value

low confidence

Upside/Downside

2.5/10

Score

2.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus1/3 methods agree

Quality Score2.5/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueLow confidence — see rating

Fair Value Range

Low$23.83

Base (IV)$64.44

High$186.78

Entry Points

Conservative$16.68

Moderate$23.83

Aggressive$45.11

⚠️ Warnings

DCF/EPV diverge 5.8x — earnings power and cash flow disagree; fair value is low-confidence (blended conservatively)

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity25.9% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 16 → 1.0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth -8.1%, margin Δ+51.8% → 0/1.0

Moat Strength5.0/5 → 1.0/1.0

Profit Margins33.4% → 1.0/1.0

commodity_capcapped 4.0→2.5 (price-taker, no durable moat)

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.