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Archived project. The S&P 500 StockPicker is a snapshot from October 18, 2026 and is no longer updated. See how it was built
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NFLX

SELL

Netflix, Inc.

Communication Services · Rank #84 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$70.53

Current Price

$20.88

Intrinsic Value

-70.4%

Upside/Downside

4.5/10

Score

4.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/2 methods agree
Quality Score4.5/5.0
Framework RatingSELL
Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 70.4%

Fair Value Range

Low$12.99
Base (IV)$20.88
High$25.46

Entry Points

Conservative$9.09
Moderate$12.99
Aggressive$14.62

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity49.5% → 1.0/1.0
Debt LevelD/E 55 → 0.5/1.0
Revenue QualityGrowth 10.6%, margin Δ+8.7% → 1.0/1.0
Moat Strength4.5/5 → 1.0/1.0
Profit Margins28.2% → 1.0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.