NOC

HOLD

Northrop Grumman Corporation

Industrials · Rank #11 · Analyzed Apr 20, 2026

$665.26

Current Price

$1517.85

Intrinsic Value

0.0%

Upside/Downside

10/10

Score

2.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus1/3 methods agree

Quality Score2.5/5.0

Framework RatingHOLD

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 0.0%

Fair Value Range

Low$93.92

Base (IV)$1517.85

High$2708.50

Entry Points

Conservative$93.92

Moderate$805.88

Aggressive$1517.85

⚠️ Warnings

Upside capped: raw 307% exceeds 200% — valuation unreliable

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity26.2% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 107 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 3.0%, margin Δ-0.9% → 0.5/1.0

Moat Strength2.5/5 → 0.5/1.0

Profit Margins10.0% → 0.5/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods — Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation — with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.