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NRG

SELL

NRG Energy, Inc.

Utilities · Rank #415 · Analyzed Jul 13, 2026

$140.42

Current Price

$44.48

Intrinsic Value

-68.3%

Upside/Downside

1/10

Score

1/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/2 methods agree
Quality Score1/5.0
Framework RatingSELL
Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 68.3%

Fair Value Range

Low$22.24
Base (IV)$44.48
High$57.83

Entry Points

Conservative$15.57
Moderate$22.24
Aggressive$31.14

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity6.2% → 0/1.0
Debt LevelD/E 479 → 0/1.0
Revenue QualityGrowth 12.7%, margin Δ-3.3% +recovery → 1.0/1.0
Moat Strength1.0/5 → 0/1.0
Profit Margins0.7% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.