NRG

SELL

NRG Energy, Inc.

Utilities · Rank #301 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$103.75

Current Price

$45.84

Intrinsic Value

-55.8%

Upside/Downside

2/10

Score

2/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/2 methods agree

Quality Score2/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 55.8%

Fair Value Range

Low$22.92

Base (IV)$45.84

High$59.59

Entry Points

Conservative$16.04

Moderate$22.92

Aggressive$32.09

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity23.8% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 483 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 12.7%, margin Δ-3.3% +recovery → 1.0/1.0

Moat Strength2.0/5 → 0/1.0

Profit Margins2.6% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.