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ODFL

SELL

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.

Industrials · Rank #166 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$187.72

Current Price

$82.80

Intrinsic Value

-55.9%

Upside/Downside

3.5/10

Score

3.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/3 methods agree
Quality Score3.5/5.0
Framework RatingSELL
Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 55.9%

Fair Value Range

Low$16.58
Base (IV)$82.80
High$110.85

Entry Points

Conservative$11.61
Moderate$16.58
Aggressive$57.96

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity24.8% → 1.0/1.0
Debt LevelD/E 0 → 1.0/1.0
Revenue QualityGrowth -2.9%, margin Δ-4.0% → 0/1.0
Moat Strength2.5/5 → 0.5/1.0
Profit Margins19.4% → 1.0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.