PHM

SELL

PulteGroup, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · Rank #283 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$113.55

Current Price

$109.28

Intrinsic Value

-3.8%

Upside/Downside

2/10

Score

2/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus1/3 methods agree

Quality Score2/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 3.8%

Fair Value Range

Low$54.26

Base (IV)$109.28

High$128.58

Entry Points

Conservative$37.98

Moderate$54.26

Aggressive$76.50

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity14.9% → 0.5/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 19 → 1.0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 0.0%, margin Δ-5.1% → 0/1.0

Moat Strength1.0/5 → 0/1.0

Profit Margins11.6% → 0.5/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.