PKG

SELL

Packaging Corporation of Americ

Consumer Cyclical · Rank #234 · Analyzed Apr 20, 2026

$213.39

Current Price

$91.01

Intrinsic Value

-36.3%

Upside/Downside

2.5/10

Score

2.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/3 methods agree

Quality Score2.5/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 36.3%

Fair Value Range

Low$41.32

Base (IV)$91.01

High$136.01

Entry Points

Conservative$41.32

Moderate$66.16

Aggressive$91.01

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity17.2% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 95 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 7.6%, margin Δ-0.4% +recovery → 1.0/1.0

Moat Strength1.5/5 → 0/1.0

Profit Margins8.6% → 0.5/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods — Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation — with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.