PKG

SELL

Packaging Corporation of Americ

Consumer Cyclical · Rank #258 · Analyzed Jul 13, 2026

$228.77

Current Price

$80.65

Intrinsic Value

-64.7%

Upside/Downside

2.5/10

Score

2.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/3 methods agree

Quality Score2.5/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 64.7%

Fair Value Range

Low$23.56

Base (IV)$80.65

High$102.24

Entry Points

Conservative$16.49

Moderate$23.56

Aggressive$56.46

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity16.3% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 95 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 7.6%, margin Δ-0.4% +recovery → 1.0/1.0

Moat Strength1.5/5 → 0/1.0

Profit Margins8.0% → 0.5/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.