PSX

SELL

Phillips 66

Energy · Rank #421 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$293.17

Current Price

$75.77

Intrinsic Value

-74.2%

Upside/Downside

1.5/10

Score

1.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/3 methods agree

Quality Score1.5/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 74.2%

Fair Value Range

Low$53.64

Base (IV)$75.77

High$175.90

Entry Points

Conservative$37.55

Moderate$53.64

Aggressive$53.04

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity23.5% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 63 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth -9.8%, margin Δ+2.7% +recovery → 0.5/1.0

Moat Strength2.0/5 → 0/1.0

Profit Margins4.7% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.