RCL

SELL

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical · Rank #203 · Analyzed Jul 13, 2026

$285.37

Current Price

$129.02

Intrinsic Value

-54.8%

Upside/Downside

3/10

Score

3/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/3 methods agree

Quality Score3/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 54.8%

Fair Value Range

Low$28.15

Base (IV)$129.02

High$167.73

Entry Points

Conservative$19.70

Moderate$28.15

Aggressive$90.32

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity49.6% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 217 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 5.0%, margin Δ+6.9% → 0.5/1.0

Moat Strength3.5/5 → 0.5/1.0

Profit Margins24.4% → 1.0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.