RCL

SELL

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical · Rank #183 · Analyzed Apr 20, 2026

$285.48

Current Price

$164.50

Intrinsic Value

-5.8%

Upside/Downside

3/10

Score

3/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/3 methods agree

Quality Score3/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 5.8%

Fair Value Range

Low$30.30

Base (IV)$164.50

High$269.02

Entry Points

Conservative$30.30

Moderate$97.40

Aggressive$164.50

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity47.7% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 215 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 5.0%, margin Δ+6.9% → 0.5/1.0

Moat Strength3.0/5 → 0.5/1.0

Profit Margins23.8% → 1.0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods — Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation — with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.