SMCI

SELL

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

Technology · Rank #387 · Analyzed Apr 20, 2026

$28.56

Current Price

$10.32

Intrinsic Value

-57.2%

Upside/Downside

1.5/10

Score

1.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/2 methods agree

Quality Score1.5/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 57.2%

Fair Value Range

Low$8.40

Base (IV)$10.32

High$12.24

Entry Points

Conservative$8.40

Moderate$9.36

Aggressive$10.32

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity13.2% → 0.5/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 75 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 51.2%, margin Δ-3.5% +recovery → 1.0/1.0

Moat Strength1.0/5 → 0/1.0

Profit Margins3.1% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods — Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation — with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.