SMCI

SELL

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

Technology · Rank #344 · Analyzed Jul 13, 2026

$28.31

Current Price

$11.91

Intrinsic Value

-57.9%

Upside/Downside

2/10

Score

2/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/3 methods agree

Quality Score2/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 57.9%

Fair Value Range

Low$5.95

Base (IV)$11.91

High$15.48

Entry Points

Conservative$4.17

Moderate$5.95

Aggressive$8.34

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity17.9% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 121 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 51.2%, margin Δ-3.5% +recovery → 1.0/1.0

Moat Strength1.5/5 → 0/1.0

Profit Margins3.7% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.