SMCI

SELL

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

Technology · Rank #347 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$31.63

Current Price

$14.65

Intrinsic Value

-53.7%

Upside/Downside

2/10

Score

2/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/2 methods agree

Quality Score2/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 53.7%

Fair Value Range

Low$11.66

Base (IV)$14.65

High$17.63

Entry Points

Conservative$8.16

Moderate$11.66

Aggressive$10.25

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity21.5% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 64 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 78.3%, margin Δ-0.3% +recovery → 1.0/1.0

Moat Strength1.5/5 → 0/1.0

Profit Margins5.7% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.