STZ

HOLD

Constellation Brands, Inc.

Consumer Defensive · Rank #35 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$131.35

Current Price

$167.62

Intrinsic Value

low confidence

Upside/Downside

5.8/10

Score

2.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus1/2 methods agree

Quality Score2.5/5.0

Framework RatingHOLD

Price vs Intrinsic ValueLow confidence — see rating

Fair Value Range

Low$70.62

Base (IV)$167.62

High$520.80

Entry Points

Conservative$49.44

Moderate$70.62

Aggressive$117.33

⚠️ Warnings

DCF/EPV diverge 5.1x — earnings power and cash flow disagree; fair value is low-confidence (blended conservatively)

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity24.0% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 116 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth -9.5%, margin Δ-2.2% → 0/1.0

Moat Strength3.5/5 → 0.5/1.0

Profit Margins20.9% → 1.0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.